DEMOGRAPHY AND SOCIAL CHALLENGES

DEMOGRAPHY AND SOCIAL CHALLENGES

Maria Rita Testa

Obiettivi formativi

The course aims to provide students with the knowledge of basic tools of demography and in depth understanding of the main geo-demographic trends which are functional to the correct interpretation of today's social challenges. Demography shapes much of our world and this has never been as true as it is today. A variety of issues related to population and its relationship with the territories are increasingly present, albeit indirectly, in the academic, political and public debate: overpopulation, environmental pollution, food safety, availability and use of energy resources, urbanization, migrations flows, attraction of qualified human capital, geopolitical strategies, ethnic and religious conflicts, geo-economic competition, international trade, direct foreign investments. The well-known saying attributed to Auguste Comte that “demography is destiny” should not be taken in a deterministic manner with an absolute mean. However, it is fair to state that demography has contributed to tracing the political, economic and social evolution of peoples, human communities, States and geographical areas. This has been true in the past - when population studies had a predominantly, if not solely, statistical-accounting significance – but even more so in recent decades, in which the analysis of population trends has become essential for interpreting the patterns of change in a globalized world. Our planet has witnessed a real geo-demographic revolution characterized by different evolutionary phases that have heavily influenced, and will continue to influence, the definition of territorial structures and human relations. The course will provide a broad outlook of these interconnections among the demographic trends and the political, and socioeconomic phenomena. Sustainability and the Euro-Mediterranean area, especially Italy, will be treated with a special emphasis.

Risultati di apprendimento attesi

- Knowledge and understanding The student – through course attendance and practical activities – will become familiar with the principles of demography and the interlink of demography with international relations, urbanization, geopolitical settings, economic development, and environment. They will acquire an in-depth knowledge on the demographic change of Italy and the Euro-Mediterranean area. The acquired knowledge will be assessed through a quantitative report, a review and a paper as well as through a oral discussion on the learned contents at the end of the course. - Applying knowledge and understanding Student will become familiar with the most important demographic methods and techniques and with the most important challenges related to population change. They will be able to identify and critically address demographic problems and possible solutions. The assessment of the ability to ‘apply knowledge and understanding’ will take place during the course through reports, reviews and papers aimed at deepening the investigation of specific demographic topics, and at the end of the course, through a written test and an oral colloquium. - Making judgments Students will acquire analytical skills that will allow them to access and discuss contemporary research around demography and social challenges. They will gain a critical spirit in the investigation of demographic phenomena and its interrelations with social and economic challenges. By using the appropriate methods learned during the course, students will be able to select the most suitable demographic data, literature and materials among the available sources. They will be able to evaluate quality and reliability of demographic data and materials independently and to critically judge their application to population related challenges. - Communication skills By the end of the course, students will be able to transmit with clarity, rigor, and methodological consistency the different demographic challenges in the different socioeconomic and geo-political scenarios. Through the various activities that will take place during the course – lessons with discussion, debates, group work – students will be able practice communication skills in various contexts. They will learn to adapt the terms used to the specific context, thus gaining advanced rhetorical skills needed for their professional career. - Learning skills By putting into practice the methodologies learned during lectures and seminars, students will be able to elaborate on different demographic issues and conduct research by consulting specialist texts and journals. They will develop a solid knowledge of the fundamental aspects of demography and the related social challenges. They will be able to carry on also independently further research in population studies and to undertake different postgraduate training activities including demographic subjects.

Contenuti Del Corso

The course introduces the basic concepts and issues of population studies and addresses the drivers and implications of the evolution of the world population. The demographic techniques most relevant to the work of demographers are covered and demographic concepts and practical strategies important in the interpretation of population statistics are discussed. The process of demographic transition is analyzed in the single dynamic processes related to mortality, fertility and migration, as well as in relation to the structural changes of population, basically the age and the family and household transitions. The link between modernization and secularization processes as well as economic development is treated with the aim to single out and discuss the main implications of the demo-economic interactions in the different geographical areas of the world. Causes and consequences of fertility mortality, migration and urbanization will be examined. The role of population dynamics in religious and ethnic issues will be explored. Particular attention will be given to sustainable development and the geo-demographic change especially in the Euro-Mediterranean region. Policy related to migration flows, fertility and health will be treated. Sustainability of population policies in Italy and other selected countries will be discussed.

Testi Di Riferimento

Lundquist, J.H., Anderton D.L., Yaukey B. (2015), Demography. The study of Human Population. Fourth Edition. Waveland Press Goldstone et al. 2012. Political Demography, Oxford University Press. Dorling, D. and Gietel-Basten, S. (2018). Why Demography Matters. Polity Press, Cambridge. - Statistical datasheets and official reports; journal articles and lectures slides will be distributed to the students throughout the course. These readings will be made available via LUISS Learn (course webpage) and will complement the textbooks in providing the basis for acquiring the intended learning outcomes.

Metodologie Didattiche

- Online lectures with the support of audio-visuals; - Lectures by external experts; - Case studies with the direct involvement of students; - Inquiry based learning; - Problem based learning; - Peer education; - Flipped classroom.

Modalità di verifica dell'apprendimento

The students’ assessment will take place in the following way: - a quantitative report, - a review - a paper - an oral colloquium The grade is expressed in thirtieths and ranges from 17 to 31. A categorization of grades expressing the level of students’ performance is as follows: insufficient (17); sufficient (18-20); good (21-23); very good (24-26); excellent (27-29); outstanding (30-31). In order to assess the level of preparation of the student, the following evaluation criteria will be taken in to account: knowledge and understanding of the notions of demography and ability to apply them to concrete cases (65%); ability to communicate acquired skills clearly and with appropriate language; and ability to critically consult demographic data-sources and demography-related scientific literature (35%). Attendance is mandatory, absences must be announced and motivated. Students who cannot attend the course for valid and justified reasons, should contact the instructor right at the beginning of the course.

Criteri per l’assegnazione dell’elaborato finale

Active attendance at the course; Quality and interest of the proposed research topic for the thesis.

Il syllabus affronta temi collegati alla sostenibilità?

Yes

Settimana 1

Week 1 - Introduction to Demography Session on campus: - Definitions, basic demographic concepts and issues. - Balancing equation of population Session online: - Population trends Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 2

Week 2 –Global Population Trends Session on campus: - Population change: the long view Session online - Is demography destiny? Debate. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 3

Week 3 – Demographic Growth and Development Session on campus: - Malthus and the neo-Malthusians. - The demographic transition theory. Session online: - Population and development: which relation? Discussion. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 4

Week 4 –Demographic measures, data and sources Session on campus: - Demographic data, measures, and approaches. - Data explorers, outputs of demographic trends. Session online: - How far can we rely on demographic sources? Overview of cases. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 5

Week 5 –Health & mortality Session on campus: - Changing causes of death. Causes and consequences - Life tables and mortality transition. Session online: - Will mortality trends reverse because of Covid19? Forum (Blog production) Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 6

Week 6 – Fertility Session on campus: - Geographical variability in the fertility transition. - Conditions for a fertility decline. Theories and models. Session online: - Is low fertility a problem? Debate. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 7

Week 7 – Migration & Environment Session on campus: -Migration trends and theories - Climate migration Session online: - Is replacement migration suitable to compensate for population decline and ageing? Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 8

Week 8 – Education & Urbanization Session on campus: - human capital and demographic metabolism. - Inequalities and rural-urban divide. - Global population flows. A special focus on the Mediterranean area. Session online: - How does education-urbanization will drive future population trends? Discussion. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 9

Week 9 – Security Session on campus: - Power Transition Theory. - Demography and conflicts. Session online: - How much does population matter on a geopolitical level? Discussion. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 10

Week 10 –Mediterranean Session on campus: - Migration flows in the Mediterranean area. - Ageing population in the Mediterranean area. Session online: - Will the demography of Mediterranean countries converge? Debate. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 11

Week 11 –Diplomacy Session on campus: - Population and diplomacy. - The new geo-political equilibria. Session online: How does demography influence diplomacy? Discussion. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.

Settimana 12

Week 12 – Ageing Session on campus: - The causes of ageing. - The consequences of ageing. Session online: - Is global ageing a problem or an opportunity? Discussion. Lectures content: - Materials provided by the instructor on Luiss Learn.