INDUSTRIAL DYNAMIC

Valentina Meliciani, Marco Cucculelli

Instructional goals

This class introduces advanced management students to selected contributions in modern economic theory that deals with market structure and industrial dynamics. Seminal papers will be presented and discussed during classes.

Prerequisites

Basic principles of Industrial Economics and Statistics are required. In more detail, Industrial Economics: i) consumer and firm theory; ii) competition and efficiency; iii) monopoly and regulation; iv) oligopoly competition; v) collusion; vi) market structure. Textbook Cabral L. (2017) Introduction to Industrial Organization, MIT Press Statistics: i) sample and population; ii) variables grouped data and histograms; iii) measures of central tendency; iv) measures of dispersion; v) correlation. Textbook Newbold P., Carlson, W.L., Thorne, B., Statistics, Chapter 2.

Intended learning outcomes

1) Knowledge and Understanding: At the end of the course students will be able : - to understand market structure and dynamics of the main industries. - to understand the firm behaviour and its evolution over time. - to understand the framework for European industrial policies - to develop capabilities for the strategic analysis. 2) Applying knowledge and understanding: The student will be able: - to perform empirical analyses on structure and evolution of industries, on firm heterogeneities within and between industrie ; - to perform policy evaluation studies of industrial policies and regulation; These goals will be achieved by means of class exercises and work group evaluation. 3) Making judgements: We expect students to be able to make judgements upon the validity and effectiveness of the industrial policies. 4) Communications Skills Through classes exercises and work group presentations the students will be able to communicate their ideas, proposals, analysis and critical reasoning. 5) Learning skills The complementarity between the theoretical knowledge and the know-how students accumulate during the class excercises and work group allow them to acquire those dynamic capabilities useful for their career.

Course Contents

This course deals with market structure and industrial dynamics. Gibrat Law, market structure, determinants of entry and exit, and industry life-cycle will be discussed in the first part of the course. Afterwards, we turn to entrepreneurial theories, and innovation taxonomies. Many of these topics will be complemented by class exercises.

Reference Books

Dinamiche Industriali di Francesca Lotti e Valentina Meliciani, Il Mulino editore. Other material used during the lectures and summarized in the slides Reading material indicated below is for deepening your knowledge but it is not compulsory

Teaching Methods

Lectures, data exercises, class discussions, group work presentations.

Assessment Method

1/3 group work 2/3 oral examination

Thesis assignment criteria

Interest for the course Coherence between the proposal and the content of the course

Week 1

Introduction. Firm size distribution and Gibrat law References: Rossi-Hansberg, E., and M. L. J. Wright,(2007). "Establishment Size Dynamics in the Aggregate Economy." American Economic Review, 97(5): 1639-1666. * Lotti, F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli, (2003). "Does Gibrat's Law hold among young, small firms?," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 213-235, August. * D.B. Audretsch& L. Klomp& E. Santarelli& A.R. Thurik, 2004. "Gibrat's Law: Are the Services Different?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 301-324, 05. Lotti, F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli (2009), Defending Gibrat’s Law as a long-run regularity, Small Business Economic Journal, 32, 31-44. * Lotti, F. (2007), "Firm dynamics in manufacturing and services: a broken mirror?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 347-369, June.

Week 2

Profit-driven entry theory Practical session Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation). Gibrat. References: *Capitolo 12, Cabral, Economia Industriale (2018), Entrata, uscita e comportamento strategico *Garavaglia,(2014), Analisi delle determinanti dell’entrata di nuove imprese nei settori industriali: una rassegna, LIUC Papers n. 144

Week 3

Innovation and the industry-life cycle Shake-out of industrial sectors References: *Garavaglia,(2014), Analisi delle determinanti dell’entrata di nuove imprese nei settori industriali: una rassegna, LIUC Papers n. 144 * Klepper, S, 1996. "Entry, Exit, Growth, and Innovation over the Product Life Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(3), pages 562-83, June. Klepper, S. & Miller, J. H., 1995. "Entry, exit, and shakeouts in the United States in new manufactured products," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 567-591, December.

Week 4

Break out Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation). Entrata Competing technologies and increasing returns to adoption Letture: Lissoni, F. (2014) “Tecnologie concorrenti e rendimenti crescenti da adozione” in Economia dell’innovazione, a cura di F. Malerba.

Week 5

Energy Transition and Sustainability Dynamics

Week 6

The Italian economy Group work

Week 7

Competition and tech giants Group work

Week 8

Taxonomies of Innovative Activities Letture: Lotti e Meliciani, Dinamiche industriali, capitolo 6.

Week 9

Entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship and entry References: Lotti e Meliciani, Dinamiche industriali, capitolo 7. Additional materials provided by the instructor Entrepreneurship. Facts, trends and historical background References: Lotti e Meliciani, Dinamiche industriali, capitolo 7. Entrepreneurship, founder age and demographic structure of the population References: Pierre Azoulay, Benjamin F. Jones, J. Daniel Kim, and Javier Mirand, Age and High-Growth Entrepreneurship, AER: Insights 2020, 2(1): 65–82, https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20180582 Xavier Ordenana, Paul Vera-Gilces, Jack Zambrano-Vera, Alfredo Jimenez, The effect of high-growth and innovative entrepreneurship on economic growth, Journal of Business Research 171 (2024) 114243 Liang J, Wang H., Lazear Edward P., (2018) Demographics and Entrepreneurship, Journal of Political Economy, 2018, vol. 126, no. S1]

Week 10

Entrepreneurship and territory References: Fritsch e Mueller (2008); the effect of new business formation on regional development over time, Small Business Economics, 30 Fritsch e Schroeter (2011), Why Does the Effect of New Business Formation Differ Across Regions? (November 2007). Jena Economic Research Paper No. 2007-077, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1026601

Week 11

Entrepreneurship and external environment Ardagna, S. and Lusardi, A., 2008. Explaining international differences in entrepreneurship: The role of individual characteristics and regulatory constraints (No. w14012). National Bureau of Economic Research. References: Lotti e Meliciani, Dinamiche industriali, capitolo 7.

Week 12

Breakout session Techniques, data, and models for evaluating an entrepreneurial market entry opportunity (interactive session with continuous group assessment).