Instructional goals
This course provides an in-depth analysis of models of exchange rate
determination. The course starts with a review of the basics relationships
in
currency markets, like covered and uncovered interest parities. Monetary
models of
the nominal exchange rate are presented followed by the Mundell-
Fleming-
Dornbusch model. We will also learn how speculation can lead to a
currency crisis
both from a fundamental and a self-fulfilling perspective. Then, we turn to
microfounded
models of the nominal exchange rate. The course will conclude by
addressing the economics of liquidity traps and the occurrence of secular
stagnations.
Prerequisites
Macroeconomics, Statistics, Mathematics.
Intended learning outcomes
Upon completion of the subject, students will be able to:
a) discuss the basic concepts of international finance.
b) understand the main determinants of exchange rates.
c) understand the basic concepts of international macro-finance models.
Course Contents
Foreign Exchange-Rate Markets
• Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2010), Triennial Central Bank
Survey of
Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity.
Covered Interest Rate Parity
• OR: Chapter 8.7.5
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
• OR: Chapter 8.7.5
• Class Notes
A Primer on Difference Equations
• Sargent, Thomas (1987), Macroeconomic Theory, Chapter IX
• Class Notes
Monetary Model of the Nominal Exchange Rate
• OR: Chapter 8.2
• Class Notes
The Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch Model
• OR: Chapter 9.2
Speculative Attacks on Fixed-Exchange-Rate Regimes
• OR: Chapter 8.4.2
Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises
• OR: Chapter 9.5.4
Exchange-Rate Models with Microfoundations
• OR: Chapter 8.3
Liquidity Traps
• Krugman, P. R., Dominquez, K. M., & Rogoff, K.. (1998). It's Baaack:
Japan's
Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap. Brookings Papers on
Economic Activity,
1998(2), 137–205. http://doi.org/10.2307/2534694
Secular Stagnation
• Eggertsson, G, Neil R. Mehrota, Lawrence H. Summers (2016). Secular
Stagnation in the Open Economy. NBER Working Paper No. 22172
Reference Books
Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff (1996), Foundations of
International
Macroeconomics, The MIT Press. (OR)
There is a course’s web page available at learn.luiss.it which
contains updated information on the syllabus and course’s materials.
Teaching Methods
Lectures, Exercises, Readings and work with data.
Assessment Method
Continuous assessment and final written exam
Thesis assignment criteria
Strong interest in the topics developed in the course and in reading
advanced scientific articles.
Week 1
Central Banks
Week 2
Monetary Policy Regimes
Week 3
Monetary Policy Instruments
Week 4
Foreign Exchange Markets
Week 5
Covered Interest Rate Parity
Week 6
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Primer on Difference Equations
Week 7
Monetary Models of the Nominal Exchange Rate
Week 8
The Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch Model
Week 9
Exchange Rate Models with Microfoundations
Week 10
Speculative Attacks
Week 11
Speculative Attacks
Week 12
Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises