INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ECONOMICS
Obiettivi formativi
The course aims at providing the students with a wide knowledge and understanding of macroeconomic fluctuations and financial dynamics in relation to economic policies, exchange rate regimes, and foreign exchange markets.
Risultati di apprendimento attesi
Knowledge and understanding: The course will offer key theoretical tools
to analyze how market forces and institutional arrangements determine
the exchange rates in the short and long run, global imbalances, crises,
and economic policy responses.
Applying knowledge and understanding: The students will be able to
understand how economic policies and market forces shape exchange
rate fluctuations, and how exchange rate risk, impacting on basic
corporate finance transactions, can be covered.
Making judgments: We expect students to be able to forecast the short and
long-run impacts of major public policies on exchange rates and
other key economic variables. Also, we expect students to attribute the
appropriate relevance to the exchange rate dynamics in the global
business environment.
Communication skills: This course will give the students the possibility to
acquire and understand major terms and concepts in order to communicate their ideas, proposals, analysis and critical reasoning in the
field of international corporate finance in the most effective and
appropriate way.
Learning skills: This course will put the students at the center of the learning process by providing them with the tools to enquire and evaluate in an independent way. To strengthen this capacity, students are required to participate actively in class during lectures and through presentations.
Contenuti Del Corso
Exchange rate (ER) fundamentals, regimes, and history.
The supply of money; the ER transmission channel of central bank
policies.
Forex market; principles of arbitrage; interest parity conditions; hedging
the ER risk in corporate business.
Purchasing power parity; the monetary and asset approaches to the
determination of ER.
Balance of Payments; IS-LM-FX model, fixed versus floating ER.
Testi Di Riferimento
1) Feenstra, Robert C. and Alan M. Taylor, "International
Macroeconomics", International Edition, 5th edition, Macmillan Education
(compulsory)
2) Lecture notes, scientific articles, and policy reports provided by the
instructor.
Metodologie Didattiche
Lectures, interactive sessions consisting of practices, exercises, guest lectures and seminars, discussions of cases studies and relevant empirical facts.
Modalità di verifica dell'apprendimento
For attending students, assessment will be based on a compulsory and comprehensive final exam (30%, structured as multiple choice questions), on a group assignment with individual presentations (40%) and a midterm (consisting of exercises, 25%), as well as on class participation (5%). Class participation will give full credit with posts in online forums and active participation to the weekly discussions. Non-attending students will have to sit a full final exam (100%) with the same structure described above (multiple choice questions).
The idea behind the assignment is to consider the class section as a think tank that monitors the world economic activity, just like the country desks do at the major international organizations or in an investment bank.
Criteri per l’assegnazione dell’elaborato finale
Strong interest in the topics developed in the course and in reading
advanced scientific articles. Grade above 28/30.
Settimana 1
Introduction to exchange rates and the foreign exchange market (on campus). Essentials of exchange rates: markets, financial instruments, actors; introduction to arbitrage (online). Covered Interest Parity, Uncovered Interest Parity (on campus).
Settimana 2
Monetary approach long run: LOP, PPP, Mac index, evidence, monetary approach and hyperinflation (on campus). General model, Fisher effect, nominal anchor (online)
Settimana 3
The asset approach: UIP as forex equilibrium + domestic money mkt (on campus); monetary policy in short and long run, overshooting (online). Groups presentations (on campus).
Settimana 4
Fixed exchange rates and the trilemma (on campus). Groups presentations (on campus).
Settimana 5
Balance of payments, twin deficits, external wealth (online). Groups presentations (on campus).
Settimana 6
Intertemporal Balance of Payments; gains from consumption smoothing (on campus).
Gains from efficient investment and from risk diversification (online)
Settimana 7
Mundell-Fleming and macroeconomic policy under flexible exchange rates (online). Midterm (on campus).
Settimana 8
Fixed vs flexible exchange rates; Optimal Currency Area (online). Benefits of fixed exch rates; the n-country problem, hystory of international monetary system (on campus)
Settimana 9
Exchange rate crises: dynamics, inconsistent policies, multiple equilibria. (on campus). Guest lecture 1 (TBC).
Settimana 10
The euro: application of Optimal Currency Area (online). The euro: hystory and recent crisis (on campus).
Settimana 11
Sovereign debt crises (on campus). Guest Lecture 2 (TBC).
Settimana 12
Carry trade and recent exchange rate theories (online).
Review (on campus)