MANAGERIAL DECISION MAKING
Obiettivi formativi
The course introduces the main concepts of strategic thinking by means of game theory and illustrates how they can be applied. Game theory is concerned with decision making in social and strategic interaction and is presently the dominating method in all social sciences, particularly in business economics. What game theory provides are tools to (formally) represent strategic interactions, the “game forms”, and solution concepts prescribing for all interacting parties what to choose. The course introduces the main concepts and tools of game theory and applies them to actual management tasks with and without strategic interaction. Thus, the course will specify concepts such as strategies, payoffs, and information conditions in static and dynamic games. In addition to standard game paradigms (board games, market games, etc.), specific applications try to capture special management problems like corporate governance, auditing, mergers and acquisitions, termination of joint ventures, etc.
Risultati di apprendimento attesi
Knowledge and understanding:
The course will offer key theoretical tools to recognize and analyze situations of strategic interaction. Hence, will enhance the understating of economic and social phenomena within and outside firms and other organizations.
Applying knowledge and understanding:
The students will be able to define predictions about subjects’ behavior involved in situations of strategic interactions
Making judgments:
We expect students to be able to assess the sustainability and effectiveness of arrangements meant to govern economic relationships within organizations as well as outside them, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses.
Moreover, students would be able to get insights about the occurrence of specific economic and social phenomena.
Communications Skills:
This course will give the students the possibility to acquire and understand major terms and concepts in order to communicate their ideas, proposals, analysis and critical reasoning in an appropriate way, while at the same time being able to convey effectively insights and economic implications to a non-specialized audience.
Learning skills:
This course will contribute to empowering learners by giving them very versatile tools that can be applied to many social and economic contexts. They can also be combined with knowledge from other disciplines to provide more accurate or alternative analyses.
Contenuti Del Corso
Decision Making under Uncertainty: Expected Utility. Sequential and static games. Backward Induction. Equilibria in pure and mixed strategies. Sequential Rationality. (Subgame) Perfect Equilibria. Bargaining. Repeated Games. Applications to Managerial Decision Making.
Testi Di Riferimento
J. Watson, “Strategy”, Norton (latest edition).
Handouts and other supplementary material (distributed via the web page of the course)
Metodologie Didattiche
Lectures
Practice Classes
Classroom Experiments
Modalità di verifica dell'apprendimento
The student will be evaluated on the basis of:
• two intermediate tests.
• a final test.
All tests are written and individual.
Criteri per l’assegnazione dell’elaborato finale
Pass the exam and an interview
Settimana 1
On campus session. Situations of strategic interaction.
On-line session. Decision Making under Uncertainty: the Expected Utility model. Application Topics.
Settimana 2
On campus session. Static Games. Strategies.
On-line session. Beliefs. Mixed Strategies. Expected Payoff. Rationality.
Settimana 3
On campus session. Dominance and Best Response.
On-line session. Rationalizability and Iterated Dominance.
Settimana 4
On campus session. Nash equilibrium.
On-line session. Mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium
Settimana 5
On campus session. Practice
On-line session. Oligopoly models: location games.
Settimana 6
On campus session. Oligopoly models: quantity competition.
On-line session. Oligopoly models: price competition.
Settimana 7
On campus session. Sequential Games
On-line session. Games of perfect and imperfect information
Settimana 8
On campus session. Practice
On-line session. Sequential Rationality
Settimana 9
On campus session. Backward induction
On-line session. Subgame perfect equilibria
Settimana 10
On campus session. Bargaining
On-line session. Repeated Games: finitely repeated games
Settimana 11
On campus session. Repeated Games: infinitely repeated games
On-line session. Introduction to Bayesian Games
Settimana 12
On campus session. Practice
On-line session. Introduction to Bayes Nash Equilibrium.