INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ECONOMICS

Guido Traficante

Obiettivi formativi

The course aims at providing the students with a wide knowledge and understanding of macroeconomic fluctuations and financial dynamics in relation to economic policies, exchange rate regimes, and foreign exchange markets.

Prerequisiti

Intermediate macroeconomics (IS-LM in a closed economy, monetary theory and inflation). Elementary mathematical analysis. Basic statistics.

Risultati di apprendimento attesi

Knowledge and understanding: The course will offer key theoretical tool to analyze how market forces and institutional arrangements determine the exchange rates in the short and long run, global imbalances, crises, and economic policy responses. Applying knowledge and understanding: The students will be able to understand how economic policies and market forces shape exchange rate fluctuations, and how exchange rate risk, impacting on basic corporate finance transactions, can be covered. Making judgments: We expect students to be able to forecast the short and long-run impacts of major public policies on exchange rates and other key economic variables. Also, we expect students to attribute the appropriate relevance to the exchange rate dynamics in the global business environment. Communication skills: This course will give the students the possibility to acquire and understand major terms and concepts in order to communicate their ideas, proposals, analysis and critical reasoning in the field of international financial economics in the most effective and appropriate way. Students’ presentations on the current situation of the world economy are scheduled through the whole class. Learning skills: This course will contribute to empower learners giving them the tools to evaluate in an independent way if and how certain economic policies impact on investing and financing decisions.

Contenuti Del Corso

The course will cover the following topics: (1) Exchange rate (ER) fundamentals and the forex market: functioning and history of exchange rate regimes; principles of arbitrage; interest parity conditions; hedging the ER risk in corporate business. (2) Monetary and asset approaches to the determination of the ER: money demand and money supply; equilibrium in the money market; the ER transmission channel of central bank policies; purchasing power parity; the monetary approach in the long run; ER overshooting. (3) Balance of Payments (BoP): national accounting and the BoP; intertemporal interpretation of the BoP; international investment position; national wealth. (4) The IS-LM-FX (Mundell-Fleming) model: fixed versus floating exchange rates; fiscal and monetary policy in an open economy; ER crises; the euro and the EU economy. The course may include interventions by practitioners.

Testi Di Riferimento

Textbook: Robert C. Feenstra and Alan M. Taylor, International Macroeconomics, McMillan Education, 5th edition (2021). https://store.macmillanlearning.com/ca/product/International-Macroeconomics/p/1319218423 - Online material available on luiss/learn

Metodologie Didattiche

Lectures, interactive sessions consisting of practices, exercises, guest lectures and seminars, discussions of cases studies and relevant empirical facts.

Modalità di verifica dell'apprendimento

Continuous assessment (50%) and Final Exam (50%).

Criteri per l’assegnazione dell’elaborato finale

Strong interest in the topics developed in the course and in reading advanced scientific articles.

Settimana 1

Introduction, syllabus, the global economy; the Balance of payments and national accounting. Review: money demand, money supply, money mkt equilibrium, derivation of the LM curve, horizontal LM and liquidity trap, zero lower bound; exchange rates basics.

Settimana 2

Balance of payments and the twin deficits.

Settimana 3

Essentials of exchange rates: markets, financial instruments, actors; introduction to arbitrage.

Settimana 4

The asset approach: UIP as forex equilibrium + domestic money market.

Settimana 5

CIP, UIP, evidence.

Settimana 6

The asset approach: monetary policy in the short run.

Settimana 7

Monetary approach long run: LOP, PPP, Mac Index.

Settimana 8

Review: Problem set on PPP on monetary approach in the long run. Monetary approach long run: general model, nominal anchor, Fisher effect

Settimana 9

The goods market equilibrium in a closed and in an open economy; the IS curve in an open economy.

Settimana 10

Monetary approach in the short and long run: overshooting, trilemma.

Settimana 11

Mundell-Fleming and macroeconomic policy under flexible exchange rates.

Settimana 12

Currency and Financial Crises. Fixed vs Floating Exchange Rate Regimes.