Obiettivi formativi
This course provides an in-depth analysis of models of exchange rate
determination. The course starts with a review of the basics relationships in
currency markets, like covered and uncovered interest parities. Monetary models of
the nominal exchange rate are presented followed by the Mundell-Fleming-
Dornbusch model. We will also learn how speculation can lead to a currency crisis
both from a fundamental and a self-fulfilling perspective. Then, we turn to microfounded
models of the nominal exchange rate. The course will conclude by
addressing the economics of liquidity traps and the occurrence of secular
stagnations.
Prerequisiti
Macroeconomics, Statistics, Mathematics.
Risultati di apprendimento attesi
Upon completion of the subject, students will be able to:
a) discuss the basic concepts of international finance.
b) understand the main determinants of exchange rates.
c) understand the basic concepts of international macro-finance models.
Contenuti Del Corso
Foreign Exchange-Rate Markets
• Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2010), Triennial Central Bank Survey of
Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity.
Covered Interest Rate Parity
• OR: Chapter 8.7.5
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
• OR: Chapter 8.7.5
• Class Notes
A Primer on Difference Equations
• Sargent, Thomas (1987), Macroeconomic Theory, Chapter IX
• Class Notes
Monetary Model of the Nominal Exchange Rate
• OR: Chapter 8.2
• Class Notes
The Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch Model
• OR: Chapter 9.2
Speculative Attacks on Fixed-Exchange-Rate Regimes
• OR: Chapter 8.4.2
Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises
• OR: Chapter 9.5.4
Exchange-Rate Models with Microfoundations
• OR: Chapter 8.3
Liquidity Traps
• Krugman, P. R., Dominquez, K. M., & Rogoff, K.. (1998). It's Baaack: Japan's
Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,
1998(2), 137–205. http://doi.org/10.2307/2534694
Secular Stagnation
• Eggertsson, G, Neil R. Mehrota, Lawrence H. Summers (2016). Secular
Stagnation in the Open Economy. NBER Working Paper No. 22172
Testi Di Riferimento
Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff (1996), Foundations of International
Macroeconomics, The MIT Press. (OR)
There is a course’s web page available at learn.luiss.it which
contains updated information on the syllabus and course’s materials.
Metodologie Didattiche
Lectures, Exercises, Readings and work with data.
Modalità di verifica dell'apprendimento
Continuous assessment and final written exam
Criteri per l’assegnazione dell’elaborato finale
Strong interest in the topics developed in the course and in reading
advanced scientific articles.
Settimana 1
Central Banks
Settimana 2
Monetary Policy Regimes
Settimana 3
Monetary Policy Instruments
Settimana 4
Foreign Exchange Markets
Settimana 5
Covered Interest Rate Parity
Settimana 6
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Primer on Difference Equations
Settimana 7
Monetary Models of the Nominal Exchange Rate
Settimana 8
The Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch Model
Settimana 9
Exchange Rate Models with Microfoundations
Settimana 10
Speculative Attacks
Settimana 11
Speculative Attacks
Settimana 12
Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises