MACROECONOMICS

Instructional goals

The course offers the analytical tools and the basic notions which represent the buidling blocks of the modern and simplest macroeconomic models. The crucial aim of the course is to enable students to understand and to interpret a number of important macroeconomic phenomena such as: the determination of the short-term and medium-term equilibria, the income and employment fluctuations, the working of financial markets, why money matters, the cause and consequences of inflation, the impact of international trade and international monetary system on the domestic economic variables, the causes of structural unemployment, the role of economic policy. An additional aim of the course is to offer to the students a methodology to face the economic problems by means of a systematic and coherent reasoning.

Intended learning outcomes

Knowledge and understanding. The student will analyze the determinants of short-term economic system performance. In particular, the main definitions of national accounting will be provided to identify the most important economic indicators of a country. The short-term macroeconomic model (IS/LM) will be derived, along with the policy implications that can be drawn from these models. The student will then analyze the transition from the short to the medium/long term, introducing price variability and examining the different policy implications. Okun's Law and the Phillips curve will also be discussed, along with their policy considerations. Application of knowledge and understanding. Through references to current economic issues, the student should be able to interpret the effects of cyclical policies proposed by governments and central banks. The student should be capable of interpreting demand and supply shocks in the medium term. The learner should acquire the ability to explain phenomena such as the inflation rate and judge the adequacy of anti-inflation policies. The student should interpret the effects of policies on major financial activities. Autonomy of judgment. The student should be able to critically analyze economic information provided by the main media outlets, particularly regarding the causal relationships involving the most important macroeconomic variables. The course should provide a methodology that encourages systematic and coherent reasoning when addressing economic topics and considering data from official sources and the media. Communication skills. The student should acquire economic and financial terminology to avoid improper use of terms related to precise economic concepts. The learner should also gain mastery of economic terms typical of medium-term economic analysis, clearly distinguishing between supply and demand shocks, actual and natural GDP, etc. The student should become proficient in economic terms commonly used in the actions of central banks and fiscal authorities, such as inflation rate, unemployment, anti-inflationary policies, exchange rate, etc. Learning ability. The student should demonstrate understanding of the main dynamics of the short term economy. The student should be able to grasp the European debate on macroeconomic policies. The learner must be able to distinguish between the short and medium term and describe the effect of different economic policies (monetary, fiscal, or structural) in the medium term. The student should be able to explain the impact of disinflationary policies in light of the Phillips curve and Okun's law, which govern the dynamics of inflation rate, unemployment rate, and GDP growth rate. Finally, the student should acquire the ability to interpret information regarding currency and financial markets.

Course Contents

The main theoretical approaches to short and medium run economic fluctuations. The main factors affecting financial assets value.

Reference Books

Olivier Blanchard “Macroeconomia. Una Prospettiva Europea” a cura di , Alessia Amighini, Francesco Giavazzi, Il Mulino, 2010 o successive.

Teaching Methods

The course is structured in lessons. The latter will be focused on class exercises. These teaching activities have to be individually integrated by referring to the class material and the available videolecture on the web site (www.paolocanofari.it)

Assessment Method

2 written exams: 1 Intermediate written exam (50%) 1 Final written exam at the end of the course (50%) As alternative a single written exam at the end of the course.

Thesis assignment criteria

The supervision of the final dissertation requires that the candidate already overcame the exam with a positive mark. Moreover, the candidate must be enrolled in the third year courses of her/his curriculum.

Week 1 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W1.1 (on campus):Introduction to Macroeconomics, Blanchard, chapters 1,2 Session W1.2 (on campus): Macroeconomics in the short run. The demand for goods. The determination of the equilibrium (the equilibrium income level), Blanchard chapter 3, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 1 Session W1.3 (online): Macroeconomics in the short run. The demand for goods. The computation of the equilibrium (the equilibrium income level), Blanchard chapter 3, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base lezione 2

Week 2 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W2.1 (on campus): Practical applications on real and nominal gdp, growth rate, consumption, gdp in equilibrium, multipliers and savings (class material). Session W2.2 (on campus):Money demand and suply and the equilibrium nominal interest rate. Blanchard chapter 4, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 3 Session W2.3 (online): The IS-LM model ., Blanchard chapters 5 and 6, On the website www.paolocanofari .it – Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 4

Week 3 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W3.1 (on campus): ): The IS-LM model, Blanchard chapter 5, On the website www.paolocanofari .it – videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 4 Sessione W3.2 (on campus): The IS-LM model, Blanchard chapter 5, On the website www.paolocanofari .it – videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 4 Session W3.3 (online): interest rates and exchange rates: Burda, Wyplosz Chapter 10, Blanchard chapter 6,

Week 4 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W4.1 (on campus bond and stock price, economic policies, Blanchard chapter 15 and class material Session W4.2(on campus): bond and stock price, economic policies, Blanchard chapter 15 and class material Session W4.3(online): tock price, economic policies and speculative bubbles, Blanchard chapter 15 and class material

Week 5 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W5.1 (on campus): numerical application for the mid-term (class material) Session W5.2 (on campus): Revision for the mid-term Session W5.3(online): Revision for the mid-term

Week 6 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Mid-Term

Week 7 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W7.1 (on campus): An overview on the labour market (class material) Session W7.2 (on campus): The labour market. The real wage in equilibrium and the natural unemployment rate, Blanchard chapter 7, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 5 Session W7.3 (online): The labour market. The real wage in equilibrium and the natural unemployment rate. Blanchard chapter 7, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 5

Week 8 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W8.1 (on campus): simulation on labour market, economic policy and medium-run shocks (class material). Session W8.2 (on campus): The AD-AS model. Demand and supply shocks. Blanchard chapter 8, www.paolocanofari .it Videolezione: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 6. Session W8.3 (online): The AD-AS model. Demand and supply shocks. Blanchard chapter 8, www.paolocanofari .it Videolezione: Macroeconomia Base Lezione 6

Week 9 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W9.1 (on campus): Studying the economic policy using the AD_AS model (class material) Session W9.2 (on campus): Philips curve and the natural unemployment rate. Blanchard chapter 9, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Intermedia Lezione 1 Session W9.3 (online): Philips curve and the natural unemployment rate. Blanchard chapter 9, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Intermedia Lezione 1

Week 10 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W10.1 (on campus): determination of dynamic path of the economy (class material) Session W10.2 (on campus): The Okun’s Law, the Philips curve and the anti-inflationary monetary policies, Blanchard chapter 10, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Intermedia Lezione 2 Session W10.3 (online): The Okun’s Law, the Philips curve and the anti-inflationary monetary policies, Blanchard chapter 10, On the website www.paolocanofari .it - Videolecture: Macroeconomia Intermedia Lezione 2

Week 11 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W11.1 ( on campus): Economic policies offsetting shock in the long run (class material). Session W11.2 (on campus): The foreign Exchange Market (Class material) Session W11.3 (online): The exchange rates (Class material)

Week 12 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session W12.1 (on campus): Exam simulation Session W12.2 (On campus): General review Session W12.3 (Online): General review