STATISTICS FOR LEGAL STUDIES
Instructional goals
The course intends to approach students to data analysis, furnishing them the essential instruments to study and describe all phenomena, by using graphical representations and summary measures. A brief monographic part of the course intends to furnish some fundamental notions about probability and inferential statistic. For some proposed arguments it will be show applications on real data by using the software
Excel.
Intended learning outcomes
Knowledge and understanding:
The student - by participating in the lectures and practical activities of the course - will acquire the basic statistical knowledge necessary to analyse legal, economic, and business data. Specifically, topics related to descriptive statistics, probability, and statistical inference will be addressed. The presence of exercises during the course will allow to give an empirical vision to the statistical methodologies.
Applying knowledge and understanding:
The student - by acquiring appropriate tools and methods - will be able to develop critical skills in empirical analysis, through the application of statistical techniques to the study of real phenomena. The carrying out of homework will allow to verify the skills acquired by the students.
Making judgements:
The student, through the use of the methodologies acquired during the course, will be able to collect, process, analyse, and interpret statistical data, acquiring the ability to independently evaluate such data also with reference to concrete situations.
Communication skills:
The student will be able to communicate to other people, with appropriate terminology, information and evaluations related to statistical analyses, including those of legal typology.
Learning skills:
The knowledge acquired during the course will allow the student to autonomously understand and interpret statistical analyses. The student will develop a solid knowledge of the fundamental aspects of basic statistics that will allow him to continue to deepen the topics addressed independently, acquiring a working method useful for continuous training in his own working context
Course Contents
Introduction to statistical methodology. Nature and measure of statistical features. Frequency distributions. Graphical representations. Distribution summary: position measures, variability and shape. Contingency tables and indipendency between characters. Correlation. Basic concepts about probability. Indipendency. Random variables. Essentials on sampling and sampling distributions. Essentials on inferential statistics, with particular reference to estimation problems on a population.
Reference Books
Handbook: A. Agresti, C. Franklin (2016) Statistica – l’arte e la scienza d’imparare dai dati, Pearson Italia, Milano (a cura di G. Espa, R. Micciolo, D. Giuliani, M.M. Dickson).
G. Espa, R. Micciolo (2008) Problemi ed Esperimenti di Statistica con R, Apogeo, Milano.
G. Espa, R. Micciolo (2012) Analisi esplorativa dei dati con R, Apogeo, Milano
Suggested and supplementary lectures:
M. Piattelli Palmarini (1995) L’illusione di sapere, Oscar Mondadori, Saggi, Milano.
G. Gigerenzer (2003) Quando i numeri ingannano, Raffaello Cortina Editore, Milano.
T. Boeri (2005) Preface of book by Levitt S.D., Dubner S.J. (2005) Freakonomics – il calcolo dell’incalcolabile, Sperling & Kupfer Editori, Milano, pp. IX–XIV.
N. Silver (2013) Il Segnale e il Rumore. Arte e Scienza della Previsione, Fandango Libri, Milano.
Teaching Methods
Lectures with the assistance of computer presentations used during the lessons. All presentations will be available for students since the first lessons on web page of the course. On the same web page, it will be available all the course materials relative to exercise lessons: exercises text and real data-sets for case study analysis, with the assistance of the software Excel.
Assessment Method
The verification of the learning outcomes will be carried out through a written exam. This will cover the whole program of the course, both in its theoretical and practical aspects. The written test will be composed of multiple-choice questions and open questions. The grade is expressed in thirtieths. The final evaluation is made by adding the scores obtained, on the basis of the answers given to the questions of the test.
The failure to achieve at least the score of 18/30 will result in failure to pass the exam. Correct answers to all multiple-choice questions and an excellent level of preparation in all open questions will result in a score of 30/30 cum laude.
Thesis assignment criteria
None
Week 1
Session 1
Why Statistics?
Sampling
Chapter 1 of Handbook: pages 1–16
Variables. Different types of data
Chapter 1 of Handbook: pages 19–38
Week 2
Graphical summaries of data
Chapter 2 of Handbook: pages 19-38
Week 3
Session 3
Describing the center: the mean and the median
Chapter 2 of Handbook: pages 38-46
Week 4
Session 4
Measuring the variability of quantitative data.
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Chapter 2 of Handbook: pages 46-69
Week 5
Session 5
Case studies: Exercise 1
Case studies: Exercise 2
Lecture notes edited by the professor and the lecturer
Week 6
Session 6
Bivariate distributions: tables and graphics
Association: contingency, correlation and regression
Chapter 3 of Handbook: pages 81-101
Chapter 3 of Handbook: pages 120-128
Week 7
Session 7
Statistical inference: sampling methods
Exercise on bivariate distributions
Chapter 4 of Handbook: pages 143-176; pages 180-181
Week 8
Session 8
Probability in our daily lives
Applying the probability rules
Chapter 5 of Handbook: pages 187-205
Week 9
Session 9
Conditional probability: the probability of A given B
Exercise on conditional probability
Chapter 5 of Handbook: pages 206-227
Week 10
Session 10
Discrete random variables
Continuous random variables
Chapter 6 of Handbook: pages 237-268
Chapter 7 of Handbook: pages 286-290
Week 11
Session 11
Statistical inference (part I): sampling methods and sampling distributions
Practicing the basics
Chapter 7 of Handbook: pages 274-286; pages 290-294
Week 12
Session 12
Statistical inference (part II): point and interval estimates
Statistical inference (part II): significance tests about hypotheses
Chapter 7 of Handbook: pages 294-296
Chapter 8 of Handbook: pages 301-331
Chapter 9 of Handbook: pages 351-405