INDUSTRIAL DYNAMIC

Valentina Meliciani, Marco Cucculelli

Instructional goals

This class introduces advanced management students to selected contributions in modern economic theory that deals with market structure and industrial dynamics. Seminal papers will be presented and discussed during classes.

Prerequisites

Basic principles of Industrial Economics and Statistics are required. In more detail, Industrial Economics: i) consumer and firm theory; ii) competition and efficiency; iii) monopoly and regulation; iv) oligopoly competition; v) collusion; vi) market structure. Textbook Cabral L. (2017) Introduction to Industrial Organization, MIT Press Statistics: i) sample and population; ii) variables grouped data and histograms; iii) measures of central tendency; iv) measures of dispersion; v) correlation. Textbook Newbold P., Carlson, W.L., Thorne, B., Statistics, Chapter 2.

Intended learning outcomes

1) Knowledge and Understanding: At the end of the course students will be able : - to understand market structure and dynamics of the main industries. - to understand the firm behaviour and its evolution over time. - to understand the specific characteristics of the Italian industrial system (industrial districts, networks and social innovation) - to develop capabilities for the strategic analysis. 2) Applying knowledge and understanding: The student will be able: - to perform empirical analyses on structure and evolution of industries, on firm heterogeneities within and between industrie ; - to perform policy evaluation studies of industrial policies and regulation; These goals will be achieved by means of class exercises and work group evaluation. 3) Making judgements: We expect students to be able to make judgements upon the validity and effectiveness of the industrial policies. 4) Communications Skills Through classes exercises and work group presentations the students will be able to communicate their ideas, proposals, analysis and critical reasoning. 5) Learning skills The complementarity between the theoretical knowledge and the know-how students accumulate during the class excercises and work group allow them to acquire those dynamic capabilities useful for their career.

Course Contents

This course deals with market structure and industrial dynamics. Gibrat Law, market structure, determinants of entry and exit, and industry life-cycle will be discussed in the first part of the course. Afterwards, we turn to entrepreneurial theories, sectoral patterns of innovation and fourth industrial revolution technologies. Many of these topics will be complemented by class exercises.

Reference Books

Dinamiche Industriali di Francesca Lotti e Valentina Meliciani, Il Mulino editore. Other material used during the lectures and summarized in the slides Reading material indicated below is for deepening your knowledge but it is not compulsory

Teaching Methods

The course consists of lectures, class discussion, exercises, simulations, and on group-works that will be presented in class at the end of the course.

Assessment Method

The overall evaluation for the students attending class consists of an ongoing assessment (based on exercises and simulations and on the content and presentation of group work) which accounts for the 70% of the final grade. The remaining 30% is based on a oral exam. The overall evaluation for non-attending students consists of an assessment based on an oral test that will focus on the course program (60%) and the reading of an additional book that will be discussed during the oral exam (40%).

Thesis assignment criteria

In general, an interest in the subject. From a master's degree student we expect: 1) ability to propose a thesis that can be traced back to the topics or the tools presented during the course; 2) ability to conduct quantitative analyses; 3) initiative and critical thinking when using data and bibliographical resources.

Does the syllabus cover sustainability topics?

The issues related to sustainability are declined in the context of industrial policies and the use of energy as a productive input.

Week 1 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Firm size distribution and Gibrat law Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) References: Rossi-Hansberg, E., and M. L. J. Wright,(2007). "Establishment Size Dynamics in the Aggregate Economy." American Economic Review, 97(5): 1639-1666. * Lotti, F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli, (2003). "Does Gibrat's Law hold among young, small firms?," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 213-235, August. * D.B. Audretsch& L. Klomp& E. Santarelli& A.R. Thurik, 2004. "Gibrat's Law: Are the Services Different?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 301-324, 05. Lotti, F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli (2009), Defending Gibrat’s Law as a long-run regularity, Small Business Economic Journal, 32, 31-44. * Lotti, F. (2007), "Firm dynamics in manufacturing and services: a broken mirror?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 347-369, June.

Week 2 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Profit-driven entry theory Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) Applications on firms’ data References: *Capitolo 12, Cabral, Economia Industriale (2018), Entrata, uscita e comportamento strategico *Garavaglia,(2014), Analisi delle determinanti dell’entrata di nuove imprese nei settori industriali: una rassegna, LIUC Papers n. 144

Week 3 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Innovation and the industry-life cycle Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) References: *Garavaglia,(2014), Analisi delle determinanti dell’entrata di nuove imprese nei settori industriali: una rassegna, LIUC Papers n. 144 * Klepper, S, 1996. "Entry, Exit, Growth, and Innovation over the Product Life Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(3), pages 562-83, June.

Week 4 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Shake-out of industrial sectors Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) References Klepper, S. & Miller, J. H., 1995. "Entry, exit, and shakeouts in the United States in new manufactured products," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 567-591, December.

Week 5 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Competing technologies and increasing returns to adoption Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) References: Lissoni, F. (2014) “Tecnologie concorrenti e rendimenti crescenti da adozione” in Economia dell’innovazione, a cura di F. Malerba.

Week 6 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Sectoral taxonomies Session 2 online Methodologies, data and case studies for group work (interactive session with evaluation) References: *Pavitt, K. (1984), ‘Sectoral Patterns of Technical Change: Towards a Taxonomy and a Theory’, Research Policy, vol. 13, pp. 343–73. * Malerba, Franco & Orsenigo, Luigi, 2014. Regimi tecnologici e pattern settoriali di innovazione, in Economia dell’innovazione, a cura di F.

Week 7 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Industrial revolutions Session 2 online Presentation of group work References: McAfee, Andrew and Erik Brynjolfsson. "Big Data: The Management Revolution". Harvard Business Review, October 2012. Brynjolfsson, Erik, and Andrew McAfee, "Winning the Race with Ever-Smarter Machines" MIT Sloan Management Review, Winter 2012 Dentro la rivoluzione digitale, Rullani e Rullani, Giappichelli editore Gordon, Robert (2012). 'Is US economic growth over? Faltering innovation confronts the six headwinds', CEPR Policy Insight No 63.

Week 8 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Entrepreneurship Session 2 online Presentation of group work References Ardagna, S. and Lusardi, A., 2008. Explaining international differences in entrepreneurship: The role of individual characteristics and regulatory constraints (No. w14012). National Bureau of Economic Research. *Lazear, E. (2005), "Entrepreneurship," Journal of Labor Economics, 23:4. p649.

Week 9 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Entrepreneurship and territory Session 2 online Presentation of group work References Fritsch, M. and Mueller, P., 2008. The effect of new business formation on regional development over time: the case of Germany. Small Business Economics, 30(1), pp.15-29. Fritsch, M. and Schroeter, A., 2011. Does quality make a difference? Employment effects of high-and low-quality start-ups.

Week 10 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Italian industrial system Session 2 online Presentation of group work References Malerba, F. (2014), Il sistema innovativo italiano, in Economia dell’innovazione, a cura di F. Malerba. Accetturo, A. et al. (2012), Il sistema industriale italiano tra globalizzazione e crisi, Banca d’Italia, Questioni di Economia e Finanza, Occasional Papers n. 193

Week 11 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Economics and crises Session 2 online Presentation of group work

Week 12 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Session 1 on campus Energy, strategic sectors and industrial policies Session 2 online Presentation of group work