MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS

Pier Luigi Conti, Francesco Bartolucci

Instructional goals

The main goal of the course is to provide the basic aspects of statistical inference (mainly for i.i.d. data) for both non-parametric and parametric models.

Prerequisites

An elementary course in probability and statistical inference. Basic notions of measure theory and Lebesgue integration would be useful, although not strictly necessary.

Intended learning outcomes

Learning and use of basic methodologies of statistical inference at an intermediate level, for both parametric and nonparametric models. Applying knowledge of statistical inference techniques to problems in Economics and Econometrics. Making judgments: ability in collecting, using and critically interpreting data related to Economics and Finance. Ability in appropriately model such data, and in studying the chosen statistical models through statistical inference techniques. Communication skills: effective communication skills of statistical models construction and analysis. Learning skills: ability to learn autonomously statistical inference techniques.

Course Contents

Theoretical lectures on some basic aspects of probability theory, with particular reference to limit results (Laws of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorems). Main Statistics used in nonparametric statistics: empirical distribution function, order statistics, sample quantiles. Statistical functionals: consistency and asymptotic normality. Estimation of asymptotic variance. resampling techniques, with special emphasis on nonparametric bootstrap and jackknife. Introduction to smoothing. Esercizi (teorici e pratici) sugli argomenti studiati nella teoria.

Reference Books

R.J. Serfling: “Approximation Theorems of Mathematical Statistics” Ed. Wiley. L. Wasserman: “All of Nonparametric Statistics” Ed. Springer. Lectures notes

Teaching Methods

Assessment Method

Thesis assignment criteria

Week 1 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

1. Complements of probability theory 1.1. Concentration inequalities 1.2. Modes of convergence and their relationships 1.3. Law(s) of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem 1.4. Delta method

Week 2 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

2. Statistical Inference: introductory aspects 2.1. Parametric and Non-parametric models 2.2. Fundamental Concepts in Inference 2.3. Order statistics

Week 3 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

3. Estimation of Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) and basic sample statistics 3.1. Empirical Distribution Function (EDF) and its properties 3.2. Sample moments 3.3. Sample quantiles

Week 4 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

4.. Statistical functionals 4.1. Basic aspects of statistical functionals 4.2. Influence function and its properties 4.3. Asymptotic normality of statistical functionals: elementary aspects

Week 5 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

5. Resampling methods 5.1. Bootstrap 5.2. Jackknife

Week 6 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

6. Smoothing: elementary introductory aspects.

Week 7 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Week 8 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Week 9 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Week 10 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Week 11 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus

Week 12 Contenuto sessioni on line e on campus